The Death of Capitalism?
Posted: Tue Oct 19, 2010 5:16 pm
Most of you here equate Capitalism with Freedom and the American Way. So is Capitalism beginning to ROT from within?
I don't see how your article is reason to dismiss capitalism or that it proves freedom and capitalism are mutually exclusive. I could show you articles on how automobile accidents are more deadly when manufacturers cut corners on installed safety devices but it wouldn't show that automobiles are bad and it wouldn't prove that automobiles are not a good form of personal transportation.tunnelcat wrote:Most of you here equate Capitalism with Freedom and the American Way. So is Capitalism beginning to ROT from within?
The ultrarich who have all the money will pay and set up their own little private country clubs while they let the rest of the unwashed masses fight it out in a global anarchy.woodchip wrote:Riddle me this...if capitalism dies, where will the govt. get it's taxes from?
I think you phrased that wrong because it says that the small number of rich earn more than the majority of the poor. That seems to be a likely outcome when comparing rich to poor.tunnelcat wrote:Well, let's see. The top 1% of U.S. households earned MORE income than the BOTTOM 120 MILLION American unwashed masses! No longer Capitalism, but we're sure headed towards Oligarchy.
Don't forget that the people in the top 1% are the ones you vote for.tunnelcat wrote:Well, let's see. The top 1% of U.S. households earned MORE income than the BOTTOM 120 MILLION American unwashed masses! No longer Capitalism, but we're sure headed towards Oligarchy.
Me, but I are nube.snoopy wrote:I think there's a point at which the capitalism mechanism starts to break down with increasing company size. Also, increasing technology hurts capitalism, because it makes it ever more expensive to start.
Any people study economy enough to confirm/refute those two theories?
I don't get it. De Soto's book is The Mystery of Capital: Why Capitalism Triumphs in the West and Fails Everywhere Else. If capitalism is triumphing, how does this proclaim the death of capitalism? Oh, and once again I love how the fact that government policy was instrumental in fomenting the housing crisis is relatively ignored in the rush to dump on the banks and mortgage industry.tunnelcat wrote:Most of you here equate Capitalism with Freedom and the American Way. So is Capitalism beginning to ROT from within?
Only once you get to near-monopoly status and have a nice cash reserve, this is true. At that point, you can afford to undercut any competitor entering your space for long enough to bankrupt them. This allows you to undercut a key pillar of capitalism, which is competition for customers. But these cases are exceedingly rare.snoopy wrote:the capitalism mechanism starts to break down with increasing company size.
This depends on the field.increasing technology hurts capitalism, because it makes it ever more expensive to start.
Most competition is simply bought out by the big fish AFICT. May be in the form of a "joint venture" (or similar) as well.Lothar wrote:Only once you get to near-monopoly status and have a nice cash reserve, this is true. At that point, you can afford to undercut any competitor entering your space for long enough to bankrupt them. This allows you to undercut a key pillar of capitalism, which is competition for customers. But these cases are exceedingly rare.
Advantage over the competition is a bit narrow, I'd phrase that as "advantage in form of deregulation". And the size of a corp is fairly proportional to its monetary power, ie. ability to lobby. Smaller corps will trow their lobby money into a pot to gain the leverage as an industry.Lothar wrote:More commonly, the capitalist system will break down because some company is in bed with lawmakers. Typically this comes from large companies, but the problem isn't the size of the company, it's the ability of the company to use lawmakers and regulators in order to give itself an advantage over competitors.
Uh, it was very easy in the 70s compared to today, you should know that. Ask your wifeLothar wrote:In other fields, though, increasing technology makes it easier to enter. How hard was it to write software in 1970 vs today? A lot of people nowadays start businesses using nothing but their PC and a little bit of web space.
Deregulation can provide an unfair advantage is when a company essentially inherits infrastructure, technology, or capital from the government.Grendel wrote:I'd phrase that as "advantage in form of deregulation"
It was easy to write software in the 70s, provided you had access to tens of thousands of dollars worth of hardware, and your software did the sort of thing you can do on 1970s hardware, and by "easy" you mean "time consuming". Often, the code you took 3 weeks to write in 1970 could be rewritten in an afternoon in a modern language like Ruby or Haskell or even a semi-old language like Perl.Uh, it was very easy in the 70s compared to today, you should know that. Ask your wife :PLothar wrote:How hard was it to write software in 1970 vs today? A lot of people nowadays start businesses using nothing but their PC and a little bit of web space.
I know several multi-millionaires who don't meet any of those, who simply held a pretty good job for 3+ decades and saved and invested a good portion of their income, or who built a simple and successful business and kept it.The "american dream" is pretty dead. You can only become a multi-millionaere by:
1. be born into it
2. invent a new industry
3. play lotto
4. build up a business and sell it. Rinse, repeat.
Add regulation to protect the consumer and environment and we are on the same page.Lothar wrote:Note that I'm not "anti-regulation" per se; I'm anti-burdensome-and-pointless regulation. Regulations forcing transparency, honoring contracts, etc. are good, and tend to contribute to efficient markets.
No, I mean "easy" in the sense. 70s hardware and OSs were way less complex than they are today.Lothar wrote:It was easy to write software in the 70s, provided you had access to tens of thousands of dollars worth of hardware, and your software did the sort of thing you can do on 1970s hardware, and by "easy" you mean "time consuming".
After you spend quite some time and resources to learn the languages, hardware, and aquire these tools. If it where that easy nobody would have to buy any software anymore, you could just write itLothar wrote:Nowadays, you can develop useful applications on a home PC you spent less than $500 on, that you can sell to a huge market of smartphone users worldwide. You have access to good IDEs, libraries, powerful languages, and other development tools that simply didn't exist in the 70s. You can simply churn out much more capability, and much more revenue potential, for the same effort now than you could then.
And you think that's still possible if you start today ?Lothar wrote:I know several multi-millionaires who don't meet any of those, who simply held a pretty good job for 3+ decades and saved and invested a good portion of their income, or who built a simple and successful business and kept it.
Yeah.Grendel wrote:And you think that's still possible if you start today ?Lothar wrote:I know several multi-millionaires who don't meet any of those, who simply held a pretty good job for 3+ decades and saved and invested a good portion of their income, or who built a simple and successful business and kept it.
Sure, but only if it's actually effective at accomplishing those goals. Just having the words "consumer protection" or "environmental protection" in the title isn't enough to ensure the regulation is actually good at protecting either consumers or the environment.Grendel wrote:Add regulation to protect the consumer and environment and we are on the same page.
Yes, if it's the direction you choose to go in life.And you think that's still possible if you start today ?Lothar wrote:I know several multi-millionaires who don't meet any of those, who simply held a pretty good job for 3+ decades and saved and invested a good portion of their income, or who built a simple and successful business and kept it.
So . . . Tom did ask me that. Specifically, "Would you say it's harder to program today or in the 1970s?"Grendel wrote:Uh, it was very easy in the 70s compared to today, you should know that. Ask your wifeLothar wrote:In other fields, though, increasing technology makes it easier to enter. How hard was it to write software in 1970 vs today? A lot of people nowadays start businesses using nothing but their PC and a little bit of web space.
Well, you're certainly entitled to your opinion. But iPhone apps are definitely real software in the conventional sense. I mean, they're written in Objective C and have servers and databases and GUIs and all that. They're not typically *big* pieces of software that take a lot of people and resources to develop, but if that's how you define "software" then "hard to enter the industry" is going to be a given.Grendel wrote:Still disagree; Altho admittedly my view is skewed by the particular niche I write software in (OS's, real time systems & process control.) -- in my eyes Stuxnet is a program, an iPhone app is a script at best.
I think that's indicative that you don't really follow that part of the industry. At the high end, you have programs like "Angry Birds" -- a product of hundreds of thousands of dollars of intensive customer research, with 7 million paid downloads. At the low end, you have 12 year old kids goofing around who pull in thousands of dollars ( http://blog.appboy.com/2010/05/the_futu ... phone_dev/ ) At the middle end, you have personal projects like Trainyard that -- after a great deal of entepreneurial perspiration -- pay off. ( http://struct.ca/2010/the-story-so-far/ )Grendel wrote:(also I havn't seen anybody getting rich w/ an iPhone app yet except Apple. Maybe possible tho.)
Well . . . not to be insulting, but I think that's also indicative that you don't really follow the industry. I suggest you spend a few hours with wikipedia and learn how the big software companies and products of today started. There are a few common themes -- "big corporation makes massive investment in huge new product" is one of them. But "a couple dudes with nothing but a bright idea, a compiler, an internet connection, and a 3 month supply of ramen" is another. But so that you can see I'm not entirely blowing smoke, I'll give you three more examples.Grendel wrote:Markus Persson is the exception you always find, but he's not representative for "how easy it is", he invested a good chunk of resources to get where he is. And he had the luck necessary
I think the harder problems we are working on today are more than offset by the greater resources we have. I mean, you talk about specialized knowledge, but how do you get that today? Google, dev accounts, dev forums, O'reilly books. How did you get that in 1970? Well, if you were lucky, you studied under a local wizard. But if you were the local wizard, you had The Big Gray Wall.Grendel wrote:Yes, todays tools are more sophisticated, but the learning curves to use these tool efficently are steeper as well -- just try to debug an windows application in real time. You need a large amount of highly specialized knowledge in order to do that. And idealy a subscription to MSDN, not cheap esp. if you are a young, starving, and ambitioned programmer.
Agreed wholeheartedly. I am in no way arguing that it's easy. It's hard. But I am arguing that anyone can do it. Regardless of how much money or resources you have, software is an industry in which a poor guy willing to work hard to achieve a bright idea can make it BIG."Possible to become rich" doesn't mean "probable to become rich", something most people seem to push aside.
Why, else they wouldn't be successfulDrakona wrote:For successful software companies these days, stories like these are not the exception. They are the rule.
Why yes, that's why I think it was easier to do up to about the early 90sDrakona wrote:I am in no way arguing that it's easy. It's hard. But I am arguing that anyone can do it. Regardless of how much money or resources you have, software is an industry in which a poor guy willing to work hard to achieve a bright idea can make it BIG.
"The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money" Margret Thatcherwoodchip wrote:Riddle me this...if capitalism dies, where will the govt. get it's taxes from?
We have?Mjolnir wrote:Extremes will never work, and we've been heading to an extreme form of capitalism. Moderation is the key of life.
Yes. You haven't noticed?Stroodles wrote: We have?
Well I'm not opposed to welcoming them with "arms", but I don't think "open" ones are quite what we should have in mind.Mjolnir wrote:you may welcome your oligarchy with open arms I guess.
Heh..a corp. earning 18k a year is not exactly the size of the evil corporation TC loves so much. Also remember that all those foreign corporations have write offs too. Point is, on average the US is one of the highest taxed places to do business. If you are going to counter point at least produce something beside hyperbole.Ferno wrote:You'll end up liking socialism there woody. All they need to do is tell you how it benefits you.
*cough* auto insurance for example.
but you also forget that US corporations have about sixteen ways around the so-called high taxation.
for example:
from the 15k mark to the 18.3k mark, the tax rate actually drops from 38% to 35%. but if they file for the Alternative minimum tax, it goes down to 20%. So a person making about 50K a year ends up paying more tax than a corporation that uses the AMT.
highest in the world? I'm sorry, but no.